Sports Models KB
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86 pages across 3 sections

    Compiled (32)

    • API-Football2026-06-09
    • Backtesting Framework2026-06-09
    • Bayesian Inference in Sports Prediction2026-06-09
    • Bradley–Terry Model2026-06-09
    • Brier Score2026-06-09
    • Calibration Plots2026-06-09
    • Closing Line Value (CLV)2026-06-09
    • Concepts IndexCONCEPTS
    • De-vigging (Removing the Vigorish)2026-06-09
    • Dixon–Coles Correction2026-06-09
    • ELO Rating System2026-06-09
    • Expected Goals (xG)2026-06-09
    • Expected Value (EV)2026-06-09
    • Football-Data.co.uk2026-06-09
    • Glicko-2 Rating System2026-06-09
    • Half-Kelly2026-06-09
    • Kelly Criterion2026-06-09
    • Line Movement & Steam Moves2026-06-09
    • Log-Loss (Cross-Entropy)2026-06-09
    • Market Efficiency (Sharp vs. Soft Bookmakers)2026-06-09
    • Massey Ratings2026-06-09
    • Multi-Sport Prediction Stack2026-06-09
    • OddsJam2026-06-09
    • Overfitting in Sports Models2026-06-09
    • Pinnacle API2026-06-09
    • Poisson Distribution2026-06-09
    • Poisson-ELO Ensemble2026-06-09
    • Polymarket2026-06-09
    • Sportradar2026-06-09
    • The Odds API2026-06-09
    • Value Bet Identification2026-06-09
    • Walk-Forward Validation2026-06-09

    Index.Md (1)

    • Sports Models Kbindex

    Sources (53)

    • API-Footballapi-football
    • Arpad Elo — The Rating of Chessplayers, Past& Presentelo-rating-system-arpad-elo-book
    • Backtesting Frameworkbacktesting-framework
    • Bayesian Inference in Sports Predictionbayesian-inference-sports
    • Bradley–Terry Modelbradley-terry-model
    • Brier (1950) — Original Paper Referencebrier-score-original-paper
    • Brier Scorebrier-score
    • Building Reproducible xG Models from StatsBomb Open Dataexpected-goals-xg-statsbomb-open-data
    • Calibration Plotscalibration-plots
    • Closing Line Value (CLV)closing-line-value-clv
    • De-vigging (Removing the Vigorish)de-vigging
    • Dixon& Coles (1997) — Original Paperdixon-coles-original-paper
    • Dixon–Coles Correctiondixon-coles-correction
    • Dixon–Coles Python Walkthrough (dashee87)dixon-coles-python-walkthrough
    • Elo Rating Systemelo-rating-system
    • Expected Goals (xG)expected-goals-xg
    • Expected Value (EV)expected-value-ev
    • FIFA Elo Ranking Methodologyelo-rating-system-fifa
    • FiveThirtyEight NBA Elo Methodologyelo-rating-system-fivethirtyeight
    • Football-Data.co.ukfootball-data-co-uk
    • Forecasting: Principles and Practice — Time Series Cross-Validationwalk-forward-validation-forecasting-principles
    • Glicko-2 Original Paper (Mark Glickman)glicko-2-original-paper
    • Glicko-2 Rating Systemglicko-2
    • Half-Kellyhalf-kelly
    • Kaggle Walk-Forward Validation Notebookwalk-forward-validation-kaggle
    • Kelly (1956) — A New Interpretation of Information Ratekelly-criterion-kelly-1956
    • Kelly Criterionkelly-criterion
    • Kelly Criterion Blog (Stanford)kelly-criterion-stanford
    • Line Movement & Steam Movesline-movement-steam-moves
    • Log-Loss (Cross-Entropy)log-loss-cross-entropy
    • Maher (1982) — Modelling Association Football Scorespoisson-distribution-maher-1982
    • Market Efficiency (Sharp vs. Soft Bookmakers)market-efficiency
    • Massey Ratingsmassey-ratings
    • ML-KULeuven soccer_xg — Open-Source xG Implementationexpected-goals-xg-soccer-xg
    • Multi-Sport Prediction Stackmulti-sport-prediction-stack
    • OddsJamoddsjam
    • Overfitting in Sports Modelsoverfitting-sports-models
    • Pinnacle APIpinnacle-api
    • Pinnacle CLV — Official Educational Articleclosing-line-value-pinnacle
    • Pinnacle No-Vig Price (NVP) — De-vigging Guidede-vigging-pinnacle-nvp
    • Poisson Distributionpoisson-distribution
    • Poisson-ELO Ensemblepoisson-elo-ensemble
    • Polymarketpolymarket
    • scikit-learn Probability Calibration Documentationcalibration-plots-sklearn
    • scipy.stats.poisson — Official Documentationpoisson-distribution-scipy
    • Sportradarsportradar
    • The Odds APIthe-odds-api
    • Unabated CLV Calculator& Educationclosing-line-value-unabated
    • Upwork Intake: Sports Prediction MVPupwork-intake
    • Value Bet Identificationvalue-bet-identification
    • Walk-Forward Validationwalk-forward-validation
    • Why CLV Is the Sharps' Preferred Metric (Pinnacle Odds Dropper)closing-line-value-pinnacle-sharps
    • Why Most AI Betting Models Fail in Footballoverfitting-sports-models-performance-odds